World Bank Predicts 3.6% Economic Growth for Nigeria.

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The World Bank has projected a 3.6% average economic growth for Nigeria’s economy between 2025 and 2026.

According to the bank’s Global Economic Prospects report for January 2025, recent reforms by the Federal Government have helped boost business confidence.

“In Nigeria, Gross Domestic Product, GDP, growth increased to an estimated 3.3 percent in 2024, mainly driven by services sector activity, particularly in financial and telecommunication services.

“Macroeconomic and fiscal reforms helped improve business confidence. In response to rising inflation and a weak naira, the central bank tightened monetary policy.

“Meanwhile, the fiscal deficit narrowed due to a surge in revenues driven by the elimination of the implicit foreign exchange subsidy, following the unification of the exchange rate and improved revenue administration.

“Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, SSA, is expected to firm to 4.1 percent in 2025 and 4.3 percent in 2026, as financial conditions ease alongside further declines in inflation.

The report noted that growth projections for 2025 have been revised upward by 0.2 percentage point, and for 2026 by 0.3 percentage point, with improvements seen across various subgroups.

At the country level, projected growth has been upgraded for nearly half of SSA economies in both 2025 and 2026.

“Growth in Nigeria is forecast to strengthen to an average of 3.6 percent a year in 2025-26. Following monetary policy tightening in 2024, inflation is projected to gradually decline, boosting consumption and supporting growth in the services sector, which continues to be the main driver of growth.

The report also stated that oil production is expected to increase over the forecast period but remain below the OPEC quota. Additionally, the baseline forecast implies that per capita income growth will remain weak over the forecast horizon.

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